Chapter 4.6

Quantitative and Qualitative
Disclosures About Market Risk

Market Risk

Our businesses operate in highly competitive markets and are subject to changes in business, economic and competitive conditions. Our business is subject to:

  • changes in reimbursement rates,
  • intense competition,
  • foreign exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations,
  • varying degrees of acceptance of new product introductions,
  • technological developments in our industry,
  • uncertainties in litigation or investigative proceedings and regulatory developments in the health care sector, and
  • the availability of financing.

Our business is also subject to other risks and uncertainties that we describe from time to time in our public filings; see “Risk report”. Developments in any of these areas could cause our results to differ materially from the results that we or others have projected or may project.

Reimbursement rates

We obtained approximately 32% of our worldwide revenue for 2010 from sources subject to regulations under U.S. government health care programs. In the past, U.S. budget deficit reduction and health care reform measures have changed the reimbursement rates under these programs, including the Medicare composite rate, the reimbursement rate for EPO, and the reimbursement rates for other dialysis and non-dialysis related services and products, as well as other material aspects of these programs, and they may change in the future. Effective January 1, 2011, the Medicare reimbursement rate for dialysis services is determined on the basis of a case-mix adjusted “blended” prospective payment system for ESRD dialysis facilities.

We also obtain a significant portion of our net revenues from reimbursement by non-government payors. Historically, these payors’ reimbursement rates generally have been higher than government program rates in their respective countries. However, non-governmental payors are imposing cost containment measures that are creating significant downward pressure on reimbursement levels that we receive for our services and products.

Inflation

The effects of inflation during the periods covered by the consolidated financial statements have not been significant to our results of operations. However, a major portion of our net revenues from dialysis care are subject to reimbursement rates regulated by governmental authorities, and a significant portion of other revenues, especially revenues from the U.S., is received from customers whose revenues are subject to these regulated reimbursement rates. Non-governmental payors are also exerting downward pressure on reimbursement rates. Increased operation costs that are subject to inflation, such as labor and supply costs, may not be recoverable through price increases in the absence of a compensating increase in reimbursement rates payable to us and our customers, and could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.

Management of foreign exchange and interest rate risks

We are primarily exposed to market risk from changes in foreign exchange rates and changes in interest rates. In order to manage the risks from these foreign exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations, we enter into various hedging transactions, as authorized by the Management Board of the general partner, with banks which generally have ratings in the “A” Category or better. We do not use financial instruments for trading or other speculative purposes.

Fresenius SE, as provided for under a service agreement, conducts financial instrument activity for us and its other subsidiaries under the control of a single centralized department. Fresenius SE has established guidelines, that we have agreed to, for risk assessment procedures and controls for the use of financial instruments. They include a clear segregation of duties with regard to execution on one side and administration, accounting and controlling on the other.

Foreign exchange risk

We conduct our business on a global basis in various currencies, although our operations are located principally in the United States and Germany. For financial reporting purposes, we have chosen the U.S. dollar as our reporting currency. Therefore, changes in the rate of exchange between the U.S. dollar and the local currencies in which the financial statements of our international operations are maintained, affect our results of operations and financial position as reported in our consolidated financial statements. We have consolidated the balance sheets of our non-U.S. dollar denominated operations into U.S. dollars at the exchange rates prevailing at the balance sheet date. Revenues and expenses are translated at the average exchange rates for the period.

Our exposure to market risk for changes in foreign exchange rates relates to transactions such as sales and purchases. We have significant amounts of sales of products invoiced in euro from our European manufacturing facilities to our other international operations. This exposes our subsidiaries to fluctuations in the rate of exchange between the euro and the currency in which their local operations are conducted. For the purpose of hedging existing and foreseeable foreign exchange transaction exposures we enter into foreign exchange forward contracts and, on a small scale, foreign exchange options. Our policy, which has been consistently followed, is that foreign exchange rate derivatives be used only for purposes of hedging foreign currency exposures. We have not used such instruments for purposes other than hedging.

In connection with intercompany loans in foreign currency, we normally use foreign exchange swaps thus assuring that no foreign exchange risks arise from those loans.

The Company is exposed to potential losses in the event of non-performance by counterparties to financial instruments. We do not expect any counterparty to fail to meet its obligations. The current credit exposure of foreign exchange derivatives is represented by the fair value of those contracts with a positive fair value at the reporting date. The table below provides information about our foreign exchange forward contracts at December 31, 2010. The information is provided in U.S. dollar equivalent amounts. The table presents the notional amounts by year of maturity, the fair values of the contracts, which show the unrealized net gain (loss) on existing contracts as of December 31, 2010, and the credit risk inherent to those contracts with positive market values as of December 31, 2010. All contracts expire within 59 months after the reporting date.

Foreign Currency Risk Management


 
in $ M,
December 31
               
                 
 
Nominal amount
   
 
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Total
Fair value
Credit risk
Purchase of € against $ 725 20 745 (42) 3
Sale of € against $ 421 421 (5)
Purchase of € against others 781 102 33 31 29 976 (19) 3
Sale of € against others 249 89 60 31 29 458 1 1
Others 33 1 34 1

TOTAL

2,209 212 93 62 58 2,634 (65) 8

A summary of the high and low exchange rates for the euro to U.S. dollars and the average exchange rates for the last five years is set forth below. The European Central Bank (ECB) determines such rates (Reference Rates) based on the regular daily averaging of rates between central banks within and outside the European banking system. The ECB normally publishes the Reference Rates daily at 2:15 p.m. (CET). In preparing our consolidated financial statements and in converting certain U.S. dollar amounts in this report, we have used the Year’s Average Reference Rate of $1.3259 or Year’s Close Reference Rate of $1.3362 per €1.00.

Exchange Rates


$ per €
 
         
 
Year's high
Year's low
Year's average
Year's close
2010 1.4563 1.1942 1.3259 1.3362
2009 1.5120 1.2555 1.3948 1.4406
2008 1.5990 1.2460 1.4713 1.3917
2007 1.4874 1.2893 1.3705 1.4721
2006 1.3331 1.1826 1.2558 1.3170

The Reference Rate on February 18, 2011 was $1.3627 per €1.00.

Foreign exchange sensitivity analysis

In order to estimate and quantify the transaction risks from foreign currencies, the Company considers the cash flows reasonably expected for the three months following the reporting date as the relevant assessment basis for a sensitivity analysis. For this analysis, the Company assumes that all foreign exchange rates in which the Company had unhedged positions as of the reporting date would be negatively impacted by 10%. By multiplying the calculated unhedged risk positions with this factor, the maximum possible negative impact of the foreign exchange transaction risks on the Company’s results of operations would be $13 M.

Interest rate risk

We are exposed to changes in interest rates that affect our variable-rate borrowings. We enter into debt obligations including accounts receivable securitizations to support our general corporate purposes such as capital expenditures and working capital needs. Consequently, we enter into derivatives, particularly interest rate swaps to protect interest rate exposures arising from borrowings at floating rates by effectively swapping them into fixed rates.

These interest rate derivatives are designated as cash flow hedges. The majority of these interest rate swap agreements effectively convert the major part of payments based on variable interest rates applicable to the Company’s Amended 2006 Senior Credit Agreement, denominated in U.S. dollars, into payments at a fixed rate. The remaining interest rate swaps have been entered into in anticipation of future debt issuances.

Swap agreements in notional amounts of $3,175 M expire at various dates in 2011 and 2012 and bear an average interest rate of 4.26%. Interest payable and interest receivable under the swap agreements are accrued and recorded as an adjustment to interest expense at each reporting date. At December 31, 2010, the negative fair value of these agreements is $125 M.

The table below presents principal amounts and related weighted average interest rates by year of maturity for interest rate swaps and for our significant debt obligations.

Interest Rate Exposure


in $ M
 
                 
 
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Thereafter
Total
Fair value
Dec. 31,
2010
All variable interest rates depicted above are as of December 31, 2010.
Floating rate $ debt                
Principal payments on Senior Credit Agreement
217 1,262 1,475 2,954 2,938
Accounts receivable securitization programs
510 510 510
EIB loans
165 165 165
                 
Floating rate € debt                
Euro Notes 2009 /2012
160 160 162
Euro Notes 2009 /2014
5 5 31 41 41
EIB loan
187 187 187
                 
Fixed rate $ debt                
Company obligated mandatorily redeemable preferred securities of subsidiaries Fresenius Medical Care Capital Trusts
225 225 239
Senior Notes 2007 /2017
494 494 531
                 
Fixed rate € debt                
Company obligated mandatorily redeemable preferred securities of subsidiaries Fresenius Medical Care Capital Trusts
401 401 415
Euro Notes 2009 /2012
47 47 52
Euro Notes 2009 /2014
2 2 15 19 22
Senior Notes 2010 /2016
330 330 349
                 
Interest rate derivatives                
$ payer swaps notional amount 1,650 1,525 3,175 (125)
4.08% 4.45% 4.26%

Interest rate sensitivity analysis

For purposes of analyzing the impact of changes in the relevant reference interest rates on the Company’s results of operations, the Company calculates the portion of financial debt which bears variable interest and which has not been hedged by means of interest rate swaps or options against rising interest rates. For this particular part of its liabilities, the Company assumes an increase in the reference rates of 0.5% compared to the actual rates as of reporting date. The corresponding additional annual interest expense is then compared to the Company’s net income. This analysis shows that an increase of 0.5% in the relevant reference rates would have an effect of less than 1% on the consolidated net income of the Company.

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